Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.001434 0.001527 0.001623 0.001729 0.001844 0.001965 0.002100
2024-10-13 0.001307 0.001435 0.001572 0.001729 0.001905 0.002097 0.002323
2024-10-20 0.001191 0.001339 0.001501 0.001693 0.001916 0.002166 0.002469
2024-10-27 0.001117 0.001281 0.001465 0.001688 0.001953 0.002260 0.002643
2024-11-03 0.001026 0.001196 0.001390 0.001631 0.001924 0.002270 0.002713
2024-11-10 0.000987 0.001168 0.001379 0.001646 0.001977 0.002377 0.002902
2024-11-17 0.000937 0.001124 0.001346 0.001631 0.001990 0.002434 0.003029
2024-11-24 0.000908 0.001103 0.001338 0.001645 0.002040 0.002537 0.003216
2024-12-01 0.000862 0.001058 0.001298 0.001616 0.002032 0.002563 0.003303
2024-12-08 0.000826 0.001025 0.001271 0.001601 0.002040 0.002609 0.003417
2024-12-15 0.000795 0.000996 0.001247 0.001590 0.002050 0.002658 0.003535
2024-12-22 0.000772 0.000976 0.001234 0.001591 0.002077 0.002728 0.003684
2024-12-29 0.000740 0.000945 0.001209 0.001578 0.002089 0.002785 0.003827
2025-01-05 0.000715 0.000924 0.001194 0.001578 0.002118 0.002867 0.004010
2025-01-12 0.000681 0.000887 0.001158 0.001547 0.002102 0.002882 0.004096
2025-01-19 0.000658 0.000866 0.001141 0.001542 0.002122 0.002951 0.004264
2025-01-26 0.000621 0.000823 0.001094 0.001491 0.002073 0.002916 0.004272
2025-02-02 0.000608 0.000813 0.001091 0.001504 0.002118 0.003021 0.004500
2025-02-09 0.000587 0.000791 0.001071 0.001490 0.002122 0.003064 0.004631
2025-02-16 0.000576 0.000783 0.001069 0.001504 0.002166 0.003170 0.004870
2025-02-23 0.000554 0.000757 0.001042 0.001478 0.002150 0.003180 0.004951
2025-03-02 0.000536 0.000739 0.001023 0.001464 0.002152 0.003219 0.005081
2025-03-09 0.000521 0.000722 0.001007 0.001454 0.002158 0.003264 0.005224